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Benchmarking probabilistic machine learning models for arctic sea ice forecasting
23 Jul 2024 | Contributor(s):: Sahara Ali, Seraj Mostafa, Xingyan Li, Sara Khanjani, Jianwu Wang, James Foulds, Vandana Janeja
The Arctic is a region with unique climate features, motivating new AI methodologies to study it. Unfortunately, Arctic sea ice has seen a continuous decline since 1979. This not only poses a significant threat to Arctic wildlife and surrounding coastal communities but is also adversely affecting...
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Supplementary material for Newhall and Pallister (2014) Using multiple data sets to populate probabilistic volcanic event trees
27 Sep 2017 | Contributor(s):: Chris Newhall, John S Pallister
For probabilistic forecasting in volcanology, two widely used methods are the Cooke method (Aspinall and others) and BET-EF (Marzocchi and others). The paper noted in the title, in Papale P (ed), Volcanic Hazards, Risks and Disasters. Academic Press, describes...
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Cost/benefit Analysis: Guidelines for quantitative protocols for volcanic risk reduction
24 Aug 2015 | Contributor(s):: dmitri rouwet
The goal of this deliverable is to provide guidelines that may allow scientists and decision makers tobridge the gap between volcanological knowledge and a rational decision making. Part of thecontent of this document has been published on the paper W. Marzocchi, C.G. Newhall, G. Woo(2012). The...