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Validation data for manuscript "Novel statistical emulator construction for volcanic ash transport model Ash3d with physically-motivated measures"
02 Sep 2020 | Contributor(s):: Qingyuan Yang, E Bruce Pitman, Elaine Spiller, Marcus I Bursik, Andrea Bevilacqua
This database presents the testing and validation data used and presented in the manuscript titled "Novel statistical emulator construction for volcanic ash transport model Ash3d with physically-motivated measures". The manuscript is submitted to the Proceedings of the Royal...
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Tephra inversion with Tephra2 and the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm
21 Jun 2020 | Contributor(s):: Qingyuan Yang, E Bruce Pitman, Marcus I Bursik, Susanna Jenkins
We couple the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm (Hastings, 1970) with the volcanic ash transport model Tephra2 (Bonadonna et al, 2005; 2010), and present the coupled algorithm as a new method to estimate the Eruption Source Parameters (ESPs) of volcanic eruptions based on mass per unit area...
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Supplementary material for Newhall and Pallister (2014) Using multiple data sets to populate probabilistic volcanic event trees
24 Nov 2014 | Contributor(s):: Chris Newhall, John S Pallister
For probabilistic forecasting in volcanology, two widely used methods are the Cooke method (Aspinall and others) and BET-EF (Marzocchi and others). The paper noted in the title, in Papale P (ed), Volcanic Hazards, Risks and Disasters. Academic Press, describes...
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Cost/benefit Analysis: Guidelines for quantitative protocols for volcanic risk reduction
24 Aug 2015 | Contributor(s):: dmitri rouwet
The goal of this deliverable is to provide guidelines that may allow scientists and decision makers tobridge the gap between volcanological knowledge and a rational decision making. Part of thecontent of this document has been published on the paper W. Marzocchi, C.G. Newhall, G. Woo(2012). The...