Publications (1-2 of 2)

1. VUELCO deliverable 7.5: Guidelines for the best practice of scientific management of volcanic unrest

   09 Sep 2015 | Contributor(s):: dmitri rouwet

   Volcanic eruption forecasting and hazard assessment are multi-disciplinary processes with scientific and social implications. Our limited knowledge and the randomness of the processes behind a volcanic eruption yields the need of quantifying uncertainties on volcano dynamics. With deterministic...

2. Towards a probabilistic scheme: How can we recognize and track non-magmatic unrest and related hazards?

   18 Feb 2014 | Contributor(s):: dmitri rouwet, Laura Sandri, Warner Marzocchi, Jo Gottsmann

   Eruption forecasting is a major goal in volcanology. The intrinsic complexity and non-linearity of volcanic systems has recently led to an intertwining of deterministic to probabilistic eruption forecasting methods. However, many volcanoes often pass states of non-eruptive and non-magmatic unrest...