VUELCO deliverable 7.5: Guidelines for the best practice of scientific management of volcanic unrest

09 Sep 2015 | Contributor(s): dmitri rouwet

Volcanic eruption forecasting and hazard assessment are multi-disciplinary processes with scientific and social implications. Our limited knowledge and the randomness of the processes behind a volcanic eruption yields the need of quantifying uncertainties on volcano dynamics. With deterministic...

Cost/benefit Analysis: Guidelines for quantitative protocols for volcanic risk reduction

24 Aug 2015 | Contributor(s): dmitri rouwet

The goal of this deliverable is to provide guidelines that may allow scientists and decision makers tobridge the gap between volcanological knowledge and a rational decision making. Part of thecontent of this document has been published on the paper W. Marzocchi, C.G. Newhall, G. Woo(2012). The...

Towards a probabilistic scheme: How can we recognize and track non-magmatic unrest and related hazards?

18 Feb 2014 | Contributor(s): dmitri rouwet, Laura Sandri, Warner Marzocchi, Jo Gottsmann

Eruption forecasting is a major goal in volcanology. The intrinsic complexity and non-linearity of volcanic systems has recently led to an intertwining of deterministic to probabilistic eruption forecasting methods. However, many volcanoes often pass states of non-eruptive and non-magmatic unrest...