Towards a probabilistic scheme: How can we recognize and track non-magmatic unrest and related hazards?

18 Feb 2014 | Contributor(s): dmitri rouwet, Laura Sandri, Warner Marzocchi, Jo Gottsmann

Eruption forecasting is a major goal in volcanology. The intrinsic complexity and non-linearity of volcanic systems has recently led to an intertwining of deterministic to probabilistic eruption forecasting methods. However, many volcanoes often pass states of non-eruptive and non-magmatic unrest...